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Handicapping

Nicole’s Breeders’ Cup Sentient Jet Juvenile Predictions

‘Tis the day before Breeders’ Cup, and all through my house, are people asking me when the championships are over. Admittedly, Breeders’ Cup week, for me, consists of blaring televisions 24/7, as well as hiding away in my office, staring at a computer screen. You would think they’d be thankful for the latter.

Anyhow, while all of the weekend’s races are sure to be nothing short of phenomenal, I can’t help but look forward to the crop of budding Kentucky Derby hopefuls, in the Sentient Jet Juvenile.

My On The Verge series is something I do every year leading up to this point, and this year, I am happy to say that one of my early predictions— assumptions really— was incorrect.  Yes, sometimes it does seem I don’t know everything. Just don’t tell anyone that 😉

Now that the 2yo’s have thoroughly prepped, and all that’s left to do is either prove me correct or otherwise, let’s take a look at my final thoughts before tomorrow’s running of the Juvenile…

Complexity is a typical Chad Brown horse…

In other words, he is incredibly hyped and backed by just about everyone out East, as it is, after all, Chad Brown’s world that we are all living in.

However, I cannot help but feel like he will fall short on Friday. A true sprinter on paper, Complexity will have to conquer 2 turns in the Juvenile, against the likes of horses truly bred for a route of ground, and I simply don’t see him stacking up.

My crystal ball tells me that we see Complexity in the 2019 Breeders’ Cup TURF Sprint, because… well, Chad Brown.

Code of Honor isn’t Honor Code…

No matter how badly Lane’s End wants him to be; he simply isn’t. Sure, he’s promising enough, but Code of Honor isn’t going to win on Friday.

He may snag a piece of the pumpkin pie that is a check, but I don’t see him prevailing victorious at this time, at this level.

He is, however, a grandson of Galileo. This means, whether he likes it or not, he has to try turf at some point. When he does, I’ll back him, fully.

Game Winner is a game winner-

And finally we have arrived to the moment in which I say, “I was sorely mistaken.”

I went on record a couple of months ago and said just how unimpressed I was with the Baffert trainee… that he was good, but not THAT good.

Boy, was I wrong. In the American Pharoah, his last outing, Game Winner handled his competition like a seasoned professional, and did so easily while nabbing his second G1 victory.

He is the deserving favorite for the Sentient Jet Juvenile, as well as the most likely winner of the race.

He’s training beautifully, and looks to have matured physically since his last outing. When he hits the post parade on Friday, he will look like a man among boys, and he is going to run like one, too.

Will he like slop? That’s a very good question. The only way he loses, is if the answer to that question is a big, fat no.

Otherwise, he’s your winner, as well as your 2018 2yo champion.

Okay, I think that’s enough predictions for one day. Let’s all sit back, enjoy the race, and then reflect on how right… or wrong… I was.

Article written by Nicole Schiveley

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